We’ve had a tradition that started in 2001 that we would see every film nominated for Best Picture before the Academy Awards. A couple of years later we expanded that to see the 9 major categories, Picture, Actor, Actress both supporting categories, original & adapted screenplays, director & cinematography. We’re going to The Father which will finish out the Best Picture films. Here are a few thoughts.
Best Picture: All were good and The Trial of the Chicago 7 or Judas & the Black Messiah could easily win in another year but Nomadland was head and shoulders above the group. It’s a very real feeling film that almost seems like a documentary, partly because there are only two actors among the main cast. The rest are actual nomads. Like Frances McDormand’s Fern says, they aren’t homeless, they’re just houseless.
Best Actor: Look, Chadwick Boseman has it wrapped up. Steven Yuen would probably have the inside track under other circumstances.
Best Actress: We haven’t seen Vanessa Kirby in Pieces of a Woman but it’s a two woman race to my mind. Andra Day for the United States vs. Billie Holiday and Frances McDormand in Nomadland. The question with Andra Day is will they award her for being so excellent in her first acting role or will they use the same rationale they used last year to eliminate Lady Gaga. She was just a singer playing a singer.
Best Supporting Actor: It may sound strange but the next time you see him on screen he could be credited as “Academy Award Winner Sacha Baron Cohen”. His Abbie Hoffman is really good. I think either Sacha Baron Cohen or Daniel Kaluuya from Judas & the Black Messiah.
Best Supporting Actress: We haven’t watched Maria Bakalova in the Borat sequel, Cris has watched Glenn Close in Hillbilly Elegy, I haven’t. Cris says Close is amazing and how do you get nominated for an Oscar and a Razzie for the same role? My guess is Close in a makeup call for her snub in The Wife but my bet is the Minari planting grandmother Youn Yuh-jung.
Best Director: We have yet to see Thomas Vinterberg’s Another Round but I think this one goes to Chloe Zhao’s Nomadland. I can’t think of the last time a film has felt that real. Lee Isaac Chung is a possibility for Minari but this one looks like a lock.
Original Screenplay: I can easily see any of them winning. I have no clue where this is going to go. Possibly an inside track for Lee Isaac Chung for Minari or maybe a nod to Emerald Fennell as the Academy tries to become more inclusive for women.
Adapted Screenplay: Again, it seems like a lock for Chloe Zhao’s Nomadland. We haven’t seen Borat Subsequent Moviefilm and The White Tiger yet.
Best Cinematography: My guess here is Erik Messerschmidt’s Mank. Maybe the weakest storyline of the 8 Best Picture nominees but beautifully shot in black & white. Possibly a nod to Dariusz Wolski for the broad country western News of the World.