Rudy donating $500k to Vivint arena employees, + France and another I didn’t catch.
I know he’s getting some flak for the viral video, but I’m quite impressed by him and these NBA guys donating to help those losing their source of income.
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A very interesting perspective, which I neither endorse nor criticize. It’s just good food for thought.
I’m not an epidemiologist but if I’m not mistaken the concern is three-fold:
- The ratio of beds to the population was closer in the 50s/with considerably less people in the country (about 150milllion less).
- The flu is harder to spread and those whom are sick aren’t walking around spreading it. People travel and commute greater distances through multiple communities.
- We didn’t have international travel and commerce to today’s level and therefore, we could have significantly higher numbers
Addendum: It’s all about managing expectations. We didn’t have that many vents back in the '50s and there wasn’t an expectation that people would get top-level care when needed. I think measures are in place now (and coming) to try to minimize the overabundance of demand, where there’s stratification of who gets top-level care and who doesn’t.
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The death rate will be in line with the flu, simply because there are so many cases that have gone unreported. CorVid19 has been in the U.S. community for months now. Many people coming forward now who had it in December after recognizing the symptoms, yet they will never be counted. My sister, a school nurse and cancer survivor age 60, likely had it in December based on the described symptoms.
This is compelling, but I doubt our herd immunity is quite so stout. Maybe next year.
Kudos to your fortitude. I
I’m glad you all did well.
Not sure I would tolerate a 103 fever, let alone for three days.
I’m glad you persevered, but, to the greater point; if a hundred thousand “offices” should experience the same, we might be in for a world of hurt.
I suggest we go back to 1957 for a month or so and knocked down the inflation curve to preserve the health care system. Of course, this will have commensurate economic consquences.
I sorta lucked out. My wife arrived at our Montana home on 3/3 and was greeted by an ongoing flood from a broken hot water supply line. It could have been running for up to a month which was the last time she’d been up there.
I flew up to Spokane on 3/7 where she picked me up and we drove back. Insurance will cover, but we’re going to be out of pocket for the deductible and some other things. South wing of home which has the master bed and bath plus laundry room is being gutted. My wife will be getting that remodel much sooner than expected.
I punched 3 vacation days for the week, working remote Wednesday and Friday off due to scheduled flex day. Employer sent an e-mail on Monday that we were to work remotely through at least 3/31, though now that is indefinite. Because my management saw that I was working on vacation days covering Covid-19 and other issues, they’ll credit me back those vacation days. Frankly, I can’t use all my vacation days and I carried over some from last year. Anyway, I’m stuck up here and getting paid for it.
Good news, the Skwala hatch on the Bitterroot River should get going next week as it warms up. I will finally be able to take advantage of this first big dry fly hatch of the year. I got the Outcast 10 IR pontoon drift inflated and ready to go and bang on fish. Maybe I’ll swap those vacation days for some fishing in the next two weeks.
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I will say having Tamiflu (for those indicated) for immediate treatment of classic flu seems to really help reduce severity and longevity.
Apparently it doesn’t work for COVID-19 though.
You think what you want, okay. Fortunately, I can listen then ignore. And in this case that is precisely what I am going to do. No disrespect. I just believe you are flat out wrong.
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And yet here you are.
I wanted to add to my modeling effort. I have not updated it. But coincidentally a CBS interview program that someone posted here perhaps on another thread on UF.N mentioned the same likely range I modeled above, 30 to 60% infection rate in the general population. In my model above, not that I have any mortality rates correct (the system average is 2%, it could be half that or double that), but look at the lower right hand number of potential deaths. Assume that double (God forbid its higher) that might need ICU help. Know that the number of properly equipped hospital beds in the US are only 45,000!
Rocker mentioned something like 13% total population infection of the flu. Elsewhere I’ve read 8%. Whatever. Corvid19 is more stealth, more deadly, we have no vaccine, limited testing kits, and we have been drafted with really bad information for several weeks now and serious hampered planning.
Yesterday, LAUte posted what I took as an appropriate rebuke of continuing to harp and blame Trump and his administration. That will not help us, and I know positively he is correct. So today, I have refrained from posting too much. Today, I’ve been at home all day in what may become a routine. My wife literally begged me not to go Nordic skiing today; it snowed here last night and the temps are low. She’s afraid that somehow unwittingly I’m gonna catch CorVid19 from someone.
I get it. My life is different now for a while. Two venues in the Central Coast wrote to us yesterday cancelling events. We are not going down to see our two sets of family. Our year-in-planning sea kayak trip to Portugal is now off too. We are concerned also we won’t be able to return to the US.
Yesterday we hit Costco and Safeway. We did not need toilet paper while there was none to be had. The line into Costco was three blocks long and several folks up front were quite vocal about where the end of the line was. By the time we got through the door, we got one of the last carts. A very few folks were hysterical. Items now out were stolen from carts left unattended for a moment. Safeway was okay, long lines also no carts. We got the salad stuff there that Costco was out of already. The streets later that day were unusually quiet.
The anger I feel right now is white hot. And its directed at incompetence, and those of you who know me, well its been building for a while. It did not have to be this bad; not in one of the greatest nations this globe has ever seen. I know folks are going to die who would not have died if one guy in particular was not so incompetent. To pique my anger, I listened to Mark Shield and particularly David Brooks last night in their weekly piece on PBS. Then a friend sent me Peter Wehner’s March 13 piece from The Atlantic. By the time I finished those, I was like a raging stampeding bull, a rolling coiled ball of spitting unrestrained vitriol. To put it bluntly, I am more than just pissed.
So thank you LA, for pulling me up short. I need that.
Enough said.
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Safe in my home working to filter out mis- and disinformation.
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I mean who you gonna believe? Scores of researchers with decades of experience and who’ve dedicated their lives to studying viral pandemics or hard4marlin’s dental hygienist wife’s anecdote from bloodydecks?
Im reminded of this quote from Issac Asimov
“There is a cult of ignorance in the United States, and there has always been. The strain of anti - intellectualism has been a constant thread winding its way through our political and cultural life, nurtured by the false notion that democracy means that 'my ignorance is just as good as your knowledge.”
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That describes American to a T in this age of social media. In fact, some think that their ignorance is even better than knowledge. All they have to do is jump up and down and yell “Fake News”
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There’s a reason “The Price is Right” has been on TV since 1956…
I see that…when you’re quoting PBS and the Atlantic. You desperately need to diversify your sources.
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Everyone has a point of view.
The most important thing we can exhibit now is grace towards each other.
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This one has been going around. Here’s the information you need to debunk it.
Wait…PBS is biased now?
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If they disagree with someone’s preconceived narrative, then apparently so.
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