I’ve been noticing that from the statistics up in Washington, too, and wondering what to make of it. According to this article there have been 1,187 confirmed cases, and 15,918 negative tests. That’s a lot fewer than 10% testing positive up here.
These updates have been pretty consistent over time, fewer than 10% testing positive. So, the question is, what’s going on with all of these negative results? Are these the worried well? Is this just Washington being extra cautious and taking lots of tests of those connected with positive cases? I’m not really sure.
So, do we think there is a decent chance chloroquine can be a decent stop gap measure? That would shift things dramatically, and could help things get back to normal while a vaccine is being developed.
Obviously the sample size is small, but the results from France look very promising.
This is useful right now only from the standpoint of what it teaches us. It’s from a study by the University of Southampton:
The study estimates that by the end of February 2020 there was a total of 114, 325 COVID-19 cases in China. It shows that without non-pharmaceutical interventions – such as early detection, isolation of cases, travel restrictions and cordon sanitaire – the number of infected people would have been 67 times larger than that which actually occurred.
The research also found that if interventions in the country could have been conducted one week, two weeks, or three weeks earlier, cases could have been reduced by 66 percent, 86 percent and 95 percent respectively – significantly limiting the geographical spread of the disease.
For reasons I don’t understand, the CDC reported data is wonky and I am concerned that it is not reliable. Today, they show 10,442 cases and 150 total deaths for the US. The 1Point3Acres data has US infected at 11,598 and 171 deaths.
I’ve revised my models with data from these two websites:
I’d argue it’s because COVID19’s symptoms are so similar to influenza, bronchitis, pneumonia and a couple other things. If you have severe symptoms your most likely eligible for testing just to rule it out. From the numbers people tested in Utah so far, about 5% come back positive
In looking at the new bill that passed, it mandates businesses give paid time off up to 2 weeks for covid related stuff. But guess what, if you have over 500 employees, you are exempt.
I don’t believe this is a coordinated effort, however there is no doubt, and I’ve pointed this out many time on here in different ways, this current economic and regulatory system is built to benefit big business over small ones.
