COVID-19 Discussion (No Politics)

Then that confirms for me that this is definitely not an overreaction.

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Someone finally finished his panic room!

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I wonder: Do they think the leaders of their sponsoring church are overreacting?

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I’m shocked. Shocked!!

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The first step — great. But 1 to 1.5 years is a long time.

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I’m shocked at the callousness of a some people on social media. It’s like they are secretly cheering for a thinning of the herd. You’d be void of a soul to be openly cheering for the grief, anxiety and suffering of so many people.

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Let hope this thing can be fast tracked.

This is how it spreads. Quite disturbing, really. People who feel ill need to stay home. That guy in Park City….

Utah is now at 28 cases. The U has it’s first employee case, a grad student in the student counseling office who had traveled to a different city recently. (I’m sure they’re tracking contacts.)

We have a very fluid situation with regard to health care workers & their obligation to be at work… vs the risk if they themselves are in a high risk group. Over the weekend several policies have emerged, which are well thought out, but prompt more questions & how to deal with hypotheticals everyone seems to agree will be more than just hypotheticals, soon.

Read an article about an effort to have people who’ve had coronavirus & recovered donate blood (plasma) which can be infused in serious cases where they’re running out of options. (Their blood has the antibodies needed to fight it.) Apparently this was done on a small scale during the Spanish Flu, with about a 50% improvement in prognosis for patients in life threatening predicaments, but this approach fell out of favor during the 40s and 50s as antiviral medications emerged.

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Speaking of Clown Posses’s…

Maybe we could hire the ICP and their Juggalos to manage this mess. They would be completely ineffective, inefficient, and totally inequitable, and the music would suck balls, but watching them spread the virus through their flash mob slams might at least be mildly entertaining.

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This is a short read and makes it crystal clear that if we don’t flatten the curve patients who need ventilators will be in serious trouble.

http://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/our-work/events/2018_clade_x_exercise/pdfs/Clade-X-ventilator-availability-fact-sheet.pdf

Ma-ake

Liquidity traps are real. QE3 is a cute idea, but it is likely to get people to pull money from the banks and go on the green. If people do this, the lending market will dry up and blow away like a fart in the wind…just like it did in 1930.

We’re going to start deleting the political posts. We are unable to move them to the other thread. Just letting you all know.

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One of my kids said his bank was not handing out larger bills on withdrawls, just 10s & 20s. I think they may be trying to assuage people’s need to feel some immediate tangible sense they have money, somewhat like the run on TP (kind of like if you have 20 one dollar bills in your wallet, it ā€œfeelsā€ full, vs having a single $20.)

In the financial crisis, there was concern among economists about the emergence of deflation, which has never really been seen or dealt with. With falling crude oil prices and airlines slashing fares, we’re seeing a couple of signs of deflation, which hopefully don’t grow, and abate quickly.

I remember the consensus among economists being that deflation is a beast with few levers to deal with. The incentive becomes for people to sit on their money, waiting for better prices, and aggregate demand plummets.

(OK, I’m going to stop with the outer margins of economic theory… not helpful.)

The most important thing is to just get through the next couple of months, flatten the curve and make it so we can slow the pace and make treating bad cases sustainable.

The DJIA just passed now the -10% mark, while I expect it to bounce up and down some.

At some point you would think that everyone has lots of TP, so the shelves would stop being empty. But maybe some folks keep buying until they have a 5 year supply. I still don’t understand the run on bottled water though.

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I work a couple of days a week at O’Reilly’s delivering auto parts (mostly downtown). I called in today to see if we are still working and they said yes. I’m not scheduled until tomorrow. Should I tell them to pound sand because I’m not coming in?

Looking for some advice here.

Sen. Romney proposing $1000/worker/month stimulus during the pandemic.

Of course we’re hearing about (#(*^# who are stockpiling all the TP, water, and other items they can get and selling it out of their garages and storage units for inflated prices. Nothing nice to say about them at all.

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Since Romney is now a persona non grata amongst the GOP these days, I suspect this won’t fly.

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