These rankings are ballpark what we think the committee is doing tomorrow. Taking bias out and just choosing the higher seed for Conf Champ
First-round bye: 1. Georgia (SEC Champ) 2. Ohio State (Big 1G Champ) 3. Washington (Pac 12 Champ) 4. FSU (ACC Champ). This week FSU and Washington flip-flopped.
5 Michigan (At-Large) vs 12 Tulane (Highest Rated G5) at Ann Arbor. (Game 1)
6 Oregon (At-Large) vs 11 Louisville (At Large) at Eugene (Game 2)
7 Texas (Big XII Champ) 10 Penn State (At Large) at Austin (Game 3)
8 Alabama (At Large) 9 Ole Miss (At Large) at Tuscaloosa (Game 4)
Next Four Out: Missouri, Oregon State, Tennessee, and Utah.
(Locations using 2024 locations)
Winner of Game 4 vs UGA (Atlanta in Peach)
Winner of Game 3 vs Ohio State (Los Angeles in Rose)
Winner of Game 2 vs Washington (Tempe in Fiesta)
Winner of Game 1 vs FSU (New Orleans in Sugar)
This season is a year we needed this with the parity. Utah would be able to make the playoff down the stretch in this scenario by winning out. Not so much in the 4 team model.
When I first heard about the 12 team change, it was apparent thatâs our best shot at finding the next step up the ladder.
PAC has always been the Conference of Cannibals (as SLC Greg puts it), so it will be interesting to see how things go next year, but I agree thatâs our best shot.
It will be interesting. As is, we see the 3 teams from Big 10 and SEC, 2 from PAC and ACC, 1 from Big 12, 1 G5. I wonder if the committee will manipulate seeds a little (like in this case, at the end switch Ole Miss and Penn St) to avoid 3 same-conference teams in the same quarter of the bracket, etc. Or try to avoid conference re-matches until the semis. Only so much you can do, but would make sense.
I like seeing this posted as it evolves. With Ole Miss playing UGA, UM vs. Penn St. AND Ohio St., FSU v Lâville (likely in CCG), and just all the other games, this will likely change dramatically (just like some years where CFP or even BCS looked set then the last week had an explosion of upsets).
Unfortunately the format that includes the six highest-rated conf champs has only been agreed for the first two years of the expanded playoff. After that, Iâm sure it will become exceedingly difficult to make it in as a non-P2 team. Which is why itâll be crucial for us to get a seat at the âadults tableâ when the major realignment hits.
That will be interesting since there will be the big 4 and with the demise of PAC12, there will be two âG5â champs in there for 2 years. Like Tulane - AAC AND James Madison - Sun Belt (or AFA -MWC or Liberty - CUSA).
This is week 11 projection. Itâs going to get even more messy that I think you will see them wanting to add Conference v Conference to eliminate any complaints.
I donât know if it will. Youâre going to see teams with 1 loss be chosen over 2 loss P2 schools. The G5 component is the only screw job that probably will happen.
Well I know one thing, the Power2 will do everything imaginable to shut everyone else out after 2025 - I guess the question is how successful theyâll be. And Iâm not so sure that âtweenersâ like the Big12 and ACC will be in a great spot. Itâs this very situation that the pundits are predicting will drive a groundswell of realignment. Ultimately I think itâs a âyouâre in or youâre outâ thing.
No way the ACC lasts until 2036 when GOR expires. ESPN will see a way to reconfigure the conferences to their liking and profit. Can Disney just sell it already? Letâs just get to a more sustainable âend-stateâ separate from NCAA for football and get back to regions for most other sports.
Eh. I donât know how you see that. It doesnât benefit the illusion of a CFP if you only pull from two conferences. I see a massive merger before that happening.
So do you think the first two yearsâ format will continue on? Honest question. It was agreed before the Power2 had the power (no pun intended) they do now and will keep building on.
Would love to see a total equitable playoff post 2025. Maybe Iâm just really jaded but, Iâm certainly not alone on this one.
I just donât see a real benefit to it. You will drop to 4 autobids and the one that could be lost is the G5. If they boot the G5 you can then have 8 At Large.
Youâre implying that the Big12 is just a temporary stop for Utah? I hope so, because I donât see much about this conference that is interesting to me as a fan. And Iâm one of the Ute fans that gives zero fâs about playing the TDS. Thatâs more interesting for Mormons and Utah residents, for me, itâs like playing an FCS school.
I would love to be in the Big 10 making another USC QB break down.
I think if it ends up being 2 super-conferences, the Big 12 and ACC teams will be split up/pulled into the B1G and SEC (maybe some renames are needed in the new paradigm, like AFC/NFC ). Weâll end up in the group with mostly current B1G members, but it wonât be because we are AAU*
With the focus on Gymnastics, Hoops and Smash Mouth football I think the SEC is a perfect fit.
Gotta say, I donât get why the Big XII doesnât interest you. You add Kansas and a bunch of great hoops, added footprint in Texas and I always looked at Utah as a better fit culturally and politically with Texas Schools than Bay Area schools.
As youâve said though you are in Syracuse and basically a Canadian so that makes sense.
The WAC 16 fell apart pretty fast. That fateful meeting of 8 ADs in the Denver airport to form the MWC (and network) tried to make it right again. But there was no money at the time. Now itâs the networks that seem to be in charge and the students have to travel more.
). Weâll end up in the group with mostly current B1G members, but it wonât be because we are AAU*