These rankings are ballpark what we think the committee is doing tomorrow. Taking bias out and just choosing the higher seed for Conf Champ
First-round bye: 1. Georgia (SEC Champ) 2. Ohio State (Big 1G Champ) 3. Washington (Pac 12 Champ) 4. FSU (ACC Champ). This week FSU and Washington flip-flopped.
5 Michigan (At-Large) vs 12 Tulane (Highest Rated G5) at Ann Arbor. (Game 1)
6 Oregon (At-Large) vs 11 Louisville (At Large) at Eugene (Game 2)
7 Texas (Big XII Champ) 10 Penn State (At Large) at Austin (Game 3)
8 Alabama (At Large) 9 Ole Miss (At Large) at Tuscaloosa (Game 4)
Next Four Out: Missouri, Oregon State, Tennessee, and Utah.
(Locations using 2024 locations)
Winner of Game 4 vs UGA (Atlanta in Peach)
Winner of Game 3 vs Ohio State (Los Angeles in Rose)
Winner of Game 2 vs Washington (Tempe in Fiesta)
Winner of Game 1 vs FSU (New Orleans in Sugar)
This season is a year we needed this with the parity. Utah would be able to make the playoff down the stretch in this scenario by winning out. Not so much in the 4 team model.
It will be interesting. As is, we see the 3 teams from Big 10 and SEC, 2 from PAC and ACC, 1 from Big 12, 1 G5. I wonder if the committee will manipulate seeds a little (like in this case, at the end switch Ole Miss and Penn St) to avoid 3 same-conference teams in the same quarter of the bracket, etc. Or try to avoid conference re-matches until the semis. Only so much you can do, but would make sense.
I like seeing this posted as it evolves. With Ole Miss playing UGA, UM vs. Penn St. AND Ohio St., FSU v L’ville (likely in CCG), and just all the other games, this will likely change dramatically (just like some years where CFP or even BCS looked set then the last week had an explosion of upsets).
Unfortunately the format that includes the six highest-rated conf champs has only been agreed for the first two years of the expanded playoff. After that, I’m sure it will become exceedingly difficult to make it in as a non-P2 team. Which is why it’ll be crucial for us to get a seat at the ‘adults table’ when the major realignment hits.
That will be interesting since there will be the big 4 and with the demise of PAC12, there will be two ‘G5’ champs in there for 2 years. Like Tulane - AAC AND James Madison - Sun Belt (or AFA -MWC or Liberty - CUSA).
Well I know one thing, the Power2 will do everything imaginable to shut everyone else out after 2025 - I guess the question is how successful they’ll be. And I’m not so sure that ‘tweeners’ like the Big12 and ACC will be in a great spot. It’s this very situation that the pundits are predicting will drive a groundswell of realignment. Ultimately I think it’s a “you’re in or you’re out” thing.
No way the ACC lasts until 2036 when GOR expires. ESPN will see a way to reconfigure the conferences to their liking and profit. Can Disney just sell it already? Let’s just get to a more sustainable ‘end-state’ separate from NCAA for football and get back to regions for most other sports.
You’re implying that the Big12 is just a temporary stop for Utah? I hope so, because I don’t see much about this conference that is interesting to me as a fan. And I’m one of the Ute fans that gives zero f’s about playing the TDS. That’s more interesting for Mormons and Utah residents, for me, it’s like playing an FCS school.
I would love to be in the Big 10 making another USC QB break down.
I think if it ends up being 2 super-conferences, the Big 12 and ACC teams will be split up/pulled into the B1G and SEC (maybe some renames are needed in the new paradigm, like AFC/NFC ). We’ll end up in the group with mostly current B1G members, but it won’t be because we are AAU*
With the focus on Gymnastics, Hoops and Smash Mouth football I think the SEC is a perfect fit.
Gotta say, I don’t get why the Big XII doesn’t interest you. You add Kansas and a bunch of great hoops, added footprint in Texas and I always looked at Utah as a better fit culturally and politically with Texas Schools than Bay Area schools.
As you’ve said though you are in Syracuse and basically a Canadian so that makes sense.
The WAC 16 fell apart pretty fast. That fateful meeting of 8 ADs in the Denver airport to form the MWC (and network) tried to make it right again. But there was no money at the time. Now it’s the networks that seem to be in charge and the students have to travel more.