Here we go for comments on the pre-game coverage and the game
Goooo000 UTES!
So far the national chatter has been very complimentary for the Utes. They mentioned the MUSS winning best student section a few years ago
1 Like
“The only thing explosive about TTech is their gas station burritos!”
That’s the giggle I needed this morning
Starting to get cranked up, and not in a stay up all night, out-of-your-mind TCU camo game kind of way.
3 Likes
Wow! Great attendance for the pre-game show. Crowd is hopped up.
Hope we are being gracious hosts to the Texas fans. Keep it classy Utah.
1 Like
Invite to Texas Tech fans for the best UTE fanbase game discussion.
Yuck!
3 Likes
That’s…not a great start.
2 Likes
Tackling…….
2 Likes
And no pressure on the QB
3 Likes
If Utah can’t respond with points on the board this drive, it’s going to be a LOOONNNGGG game
3 Likes
Could’ve been better tackling on that long pass play. I wonder if we are gvulnerable to their passing game.
1 Like
The Gameday curse continues
2 Likes
Good Defensive stand there - O needs to shine here
1 Like
Our ability to stretch the defense and throw deep is a problem. Tech can play 15 - 20 yards from the line and not worry about anything over the top.
2 Likes
This game is going to put my heart meds to the test
2 Likes
It’s giving me generalized anxiety disorder
3 Likes
We need a momentum change, maybe a series without a dumb penalty or poor ball protection. Clean things up.
2 Likes
Sigh
3 Likes
From good old ChatGPT:
For two evenly matched FBS teams, being –2 in turnover margin in the 1st quarter and trailing 7–0 typically drops win probability into the ~25–35% range. Early turnovers aren’t quite as fatal as late ones, but a –2 margin is a big red flag in college ball.
Here’s a useful rule of thumb plus scenarios:
Rules of thumb (college)
• Each turnover is worth roughly 3–5 expected points and ~7–12 percentage points of win probability early in the game (context matters).
• A –2 turnover margin is associated with losing most games; evenly matched teams with –2 finishers win only about 20–30% of the time overall. Early (Q1) –2 is a bit less dire than late, but still a major hit.
Quick scenarios (approximate WP after Q1, 7–0 down, –2 TO)
• Pregame toss-up (50/50) → ~25–35%
• You were a 7-point favorite → ~40–50% (your pregame edge cushions the blow)
• You were a 7-point underdog → ~10–20%
• If the turnovers directly caused the TD (and field position skewed): lean to the lower end of each range.
Why the range?
Win probability models weigh:
• Team strength/spread (biggest driver)
• Time remaining (Q1 hits hurt less than Q4)
• Score/field position/possession after the second fumble
• Pace and explosiveness (some offenses erase deficits faster)
If you tell me the matchup (teams and pregame spread) and roughly where/when the fumbles happened (and who has the ball to start Q2), I’ll give you a tighter, game-state-specific estimate.
2 Likes
Outside of that one really weird play (that should have been flagged), the defense looks solid.
Offense needs to quit shooting itself in the foot.
5 Likes