I beg to differ. The only correlation is an early season ranking, which can propel or hinder a teams success all year. I do believe that having some absolute studs on your team doesn’t hurt but there are many, many reasons to ignore the recruiting.
I have a hard time with the recruiting stars because they’re just so subjective.
- Some kids get a bump just because Alabama or Ohio State are recruiting them.
- Some kids play in lower level leagues and inferior opponents, inflated stats.
- Some kids are just bigger and faster at 17 but don’t grow from there.
- Some kids are spoonfed they will be NFL stars as kids and fizzzle out when the pressure is on.
- Some kids might have all the talent in the world but are complete headcases or can’t stay in school.
- Some kids have never been challenged and when they face top talent, they fold.
What truly sucks about college sports is anybody can put out a recruiting ranking to fluff the stature of a team. Alabama has a great team and puts a lot of players in the NFL but when a recruit gets a bump simply because Alabama recruited them, then Alabama gets a bump simply because they had a top 5 recruiting class…that smells fishy to me.
Take a look at one of the biggest busts college sports recently.
Florida State signed Malik Henry (you might know him from Last Chance U and now at Nevada even though he’s not participating with the team). All the hype going into 2017 had Florida State at #3 in the preseason rankings with their new can’t miss QB. They finished 7-6 and Henry never saw the field. Florida State was nowhere deserving of their #3 ranking week 1 and Henry was a bust. Henry played HS at Westlake Oaks in CA Division 1/2 and the team rode their defense all season. Florida State was desperate for their QB of the future, Henry shot from a 2* to a 4* over his senior year and the #4 QB prospect, just behind KJ Costello mind you and ahead of Feleipe Franks. Way down the list at #13…Jalen Hurts. If you keep going down to #32 you’ll find Matt Fink (the guy who beat Utah this year) and way down there at #38 is Tyler Huntley. Ahem, Justin Herbert was #43.
I ask you, hidsight being 20/20, would you rather have Malik Henry or Tyler Huntley playing today?
This is just one scenario where a 4* or 5* kid didn’t work out. Yes, I understand for every Malik Henry there is a Josh Rosen or a Christian Hackenberg 5* can’t miss talent, but there are a handful of 5* kids you’ve never heard of. Gunner Kiel? Mitch Mustain?
Something that you might not be aware of too, on average there are only one to two, occasionally three 5* kids on the board. Unless the kid is a sure-fire winner and solid Utah all the way, I doubt Utah goes after any of them. Utah has done a good job in recruiting by not burning bridges. We all know the story of Zach Wilson, Utah had their guy in Tuttle and he bailed. When Utah goes all in with a kid they make a commitment to them as well. It’s about honor and respect.
Again, I’m not saying that Utah should turn down 5* kids but we as fans shouldn’t put a lot of stock in recruiting rankings. I know Whittingham couldn’t care less about them…he has his own recruiting rankings.